SPXL market signals
Last updated 2026-09-23 · US market close
Hourly updates during US market hours · Full adjusted-price refresh after the close
SPXL price, standard deviation and historical returns
Review the latest SPXL (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares) price, correction and standard-deviation-based lower-price zone using weekly ETF data. Signal A combines statistical price zones with market prerequisites; its proximity is not a profit probability. Compare historical returns one month to two years after Signal A and Signal B.
Signals are evaluated using the candle low. Once triggered, a signal remains recorded even if the price rebounds and the candle closes higher.
Signal A is statistics-based, while Signal B is price-action-based.
How to read relative strength
Relative strength shows whether this ETF is stronger or weaker than the selected benchmark, SPY or RSP. Above the dashed 1.0 line means stronger; below it means weaker. An upward break above 1.0 during a market decline or rebound can be meaningful as a shift toward relative strength. Holding above 1.0 or rising first during a rebound may also indicate relative leadership. It is not a buy signal and does not predict future returns.
Signal A historical performance
Tracks statistically lower market-price zones. chart marker A.
| Period | Average return | Median | Average max gain | Average time to peak | Positive-return rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +20.4% | +19.2% | +25.9% | 3.3 wk | 75% | 12 |
| 3 months | +45.6% | +40.2% | +60.8% | 12.1 wk | 100% | 12 |
| 6 months | +65.9% | +60.6% | +90% | 23 wk | 92% | 12 |
| 1 year | +115.5% | +89.8% | +127.5% | 43.3 wk | 92% | 12 |
| 18 months | +164.3% | +119.7% | +201.6% | 72.4 wk | 100% | 10 |
| 2 years | +214.8% | +178.3% | +273.1% | 91.4 wk | 100% | 10 |
Signal A signal history
Signals from the last 10 years are shown by default.
| Signal date | Base price | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year | 18 months | 2 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-17 | $28.21 | +32.43% | +52.06% | +75.55% | +123.01% | +43.16% | +137.14% |
| 2018-12-24 | $30.39 | +22.15% | +46.08% | +61.33% | +110.52% | +21.7% | +119.82% |
| 2020-03-09 | $32.63 | -6.05% | +17.16% | +52.75% | +144.38% | +250.75% | +183.67% |
| 2020-03-16 | $18.33 | +81.8% | +120.35% | +166.87% | +323.7% | +513.06% | +500.7% |
| 2020-03-23 | $23.87 | +33.49% | +54.95% | +100.42% | +240.81% | +377.52% | +386.43% |
| 2022-05-09 | $78.41 | -10.43% | +14.88% | -12.26% | -9.72% | +4.04% | +62.01% |
| 2022-06-13 | $58.21 | +15.14% | +12.54% | +4.47% | +47.35% | +69.31% | +143.55% |
| 2025-03-31 | $100.39 | +34.53% | +77.39% | +112.39% | +88.31% | Current +193.04% · Peak +201.7% | Current +193.04% · Peak +201.7% |
| 2025-04-07 | $114.47 | +16.23% | +53.95% | +72.44% | +82.7% | Current +156.99% · Peak +164.58% | Current +156.99% · Peak +164.58% |