SOXL market signals
Last updated 2026-09-23 · US market close
Hourly updates during US market hours · Full adjusted-price refresh after the close
SOXL price, standard deviation and historical returns
Review the latest SOXL (Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X) price, correction and standard-deviation-based lower-price zone using weekly ETF data. Signal A combines statistical price zones with market prerequisites; its proximity is not a profit probability. Compare historical returns one month to two years after Signal A and Signal B.
Signals are evaluated using the candle low. Once triggered, a signal remains recorded even if the price rebounds and the candle closes higher.
Signal A is statistics-based, while Signal B is price-action-based.
How to read relative strength
Relative strength shows whether this ETF is stronger or weaker than the selected benchmark, SPY or RSP. Above the dashed 1.0 line means stronger; below it means weaker. An upward break above 1.0 during a market decline or rebound can be meaningful as a shift toward relative strength. Holding above 1.0 or rising first during a rebound may also indicate relative leadership. It is not a buy signal and does not predict future returns.
Signal A historical performance
Tracks statistically lower market-price zones. chart marker A.
| Period | Average return | Median | Average max gain | Average time to peak | Positive-return rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +20% | +7.3% | +31.2% | 2.7 wk | 60% | 10 |
| 3 months | +66.8% | +25.9% | +88.9% | 8.8 wk | 80% | 10 |
| 6 months | +118.9% | +79.9% | +173.5% | 21.6 wk | 80% | 10 |
| 1 year | +285.3% | +183.3% | +362.9% | 45.8 wk | 100% | 10 |
| 18 months | +242.4% | +116.8% | +360.9% | 70.4 wk | 88% | 8 |
| 2 years | +340.3% | +291.9% | +544.3% | 85.5 wk | 100% | 8 |
Signal A signal history
Signals from the last 10 years are shown by default.
| Signal date | Base price | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year | 18 months | 2 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-08 | $7.51 | -9.39% | -19.5% | +44.17% | +53.59% | -6.97% | +162.61% |
| 2018-10-22 | $5.68 | +4.07% | +22.92% | +109.09% | +123.59% | +42.09% | +230.42% |
| 2018-10-29 | $6.98 | -2.16% | +1.19% | +77.93% | +95.67% | +2.79% | +130.45% |
| 2018-12-24 | $5.24 | +33.2% | +68.5% | +81.94% | +243.09% | +107.48% | +448.22% |
| 2020-03-09 | $8.38 | -16.66% | +26.59% | +69.5% | +286.53% | +439.08% | +255.19% |
| 2020-03-16 | $4.12 | +101.11% | +183.36% | +254.34% | +716.53% | +998.97% | +821.01% |
| 2022-06-13 | $13.29 | +10.43% | -11.86% | -18.53% | +86.02% | +126.02% | +345.71% |
| 2025-03-31 | $8.69 | +52.23% | +203.7% | +339.42% | +506.32% | Current +1647.7% · Peak +3371.26% | Current +1647.7% · Peak +3371.26% |
| 2025-04-07 | $10.19 | +37.93% | +167.61% | +235.56% | +649.3% | Current +1391.45% · Peak +2862.3% | Current +1391.45% · Peak +2862.3% |