NAIL market signals
Last updated 2026-09-22 · US market close
Hourly updates during US market hours · Full adjusted-price refresh after the close
NAIL price, standard deviation and historical returns
Review the latest NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares) price, correction and standard-deviation-based lower-price zone using weekly ETF data. Signal A combines statistical price zones with market prerequisites; its proximity is not a profit probability. Compare historical returns one month to two years after Signal A and Signal B.
Signals are evaluated using the candle low. Once triggered, a signal remains recorded even if the price rebounds and the candle closes higher.
Signal A is statistics-based, while Signal B is price-action-based.
How to read relative strength
Relative strength shows whether this ETF is stronger or weaker than the selected benchmark, SPY or RSP. Above the dashed 1.0 line means stronger; below it means weaker. An upward break above 1.0 during a market decline or rebound can be meaningful as a shift toward relative strength. Holding above 1.0 or rising first during a rebound may also indicate relative leadership. It is not a buy signal and does not predict future returns.
Signal A historical performance
Tracks statistically lower market-price zones. chart marker A.
| Period | Average return | Median | Average max gain | Average time to peak | Positive-return rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +22.4% | +32.0% | +42.6% | 2.8 wk | 80% | 5 |
| 3 months | +63.8% | +27.0% | +117.4% | 10.4 wk | 80% | 5 |
| 6 months | +139.8% | +62.3% | +203.4% | 18.2 wk | 80% | 5 |
| 1 year | +287.7% | +184.7% | +350.9% | 43.3 wk | 75% | 4 |
| 18 months | +526.5% | +431.4% | +754.8% | 66.3 wk | 100% | 3 |
| 2 years | +408.2% | +404.0% | +875.8% | 92 wk | 100% | 3 |
Signal A signal history
Signals from the last 10 years are shown by default.
| Signal date | Base price | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year | 18 months | 2 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-09 | $25.41 | -44.7% | -6.48% | +86.89% | +150.87% | +203.82% | +101.74% |
| 2020-03-16 | $7.42 | +61.54% | +246.06% | +548.25% | +795.15% | +944.34% | +718.71% |
| 2022-06-13 | $19.86 | +55.87% | +23.27% | +62.25% | +218.57% | +431.37% | +404.02% |
| 2025-04-07 | $48.73 | +7.19% | +27.01% | +19.73% | -13.68% | Current -39.24% · Peak +101.91% | Current -39.24% · Peak +101.91% |
| 2026-03-16 | $35.38 | +31.99% | +29.02% | -18.31% | Current -16.3% · Peak +57.06% | Current -16.3% · Peak +57.06% | Current -16.3% · Peak +57.06% |