ITA market signals
Last updated 2026-09-23 · US market close
Hourly updates during US market hours · Full adjusted-price refresh after the close
ITA price, standard deviation and historical returns
Review the latest ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) price, correction and standard-deviation-based lower-price zone using weekly ETF data. Signal A combines statistical price zones with market prerequisites; its proximity is not a profit probability. Compare historical returns one month to two years after Signal A and Signal B.
Signals are evaluated using the candle low. Once triggered, a signal remains recorded even if the price rebounds and the candle closes higher.
Signal A is statistics-based, while Signal B is price-action-based.
How to read relative strength
Relative strength shows whether this ETF is stronger or weaker than the selected benchmark, SPY or RSP. Above the dashed 1.0 line means stronger; below it means weaker. An upward break above 1.0 during a market decline or rebound can be meaningful as a shift toward relative strength. Holding above 1.0 or rising first during a rebound may also indicate relative leadership. It is not a buy signal and does not predict future returns.
Signal A historical performance
Tracks statistically lower market-price zones. chart marker A.
| Period | Average return | Median | Average max gain | Average time to peak | Positive-return rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +1% | -0.6% | +8.1% | 2.1 wk | 33% | 9 |
| 3 months | +11.4% | +9.3% | +22% | 10.4 wk | 78% | 9 |
| 6 months | +12.7% | +8.2% | +23.2% | 18 wk | 78% | 9 |
| 1 year | +31.4% | +33.0% | +35.1% | 50.6 wk | 100% | 9 |
| 18 months | +23.1% | +12.5% | +43.4% | 64.2 wk | 89% | 9 |
| 2 years | +33.4% | +22.8% | +45.8% | 75.8 wk | 100% | 9 |
Signal A signal history
Signals from the last 10 years are shown by default.
| Signal date | Base price | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year | 18 months | 2 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-03 | $84.4 | -4.44% | +10.48% | +16.85% | +26.77% | +4.97% | +9.07% |
| 2018-12-17 | $77.48 | +12.18% | +16.67% | +29.21% | +35.9% | +3.43% | +16.1% |
| 2018-12-24 | $79.26 | +10.4% | +17.16% | +26.12% | +33.03% | -5.14% | +13.48% |
| 2020-03-02 | $91.92 | -29.9% | -3.61% | -13.84% | +1.87% | +9.74% | +14.51% |
| 2020-03-09 | $74.17 | -0.61% | +9.33% | +4.45% | +35.91% | +32.94% | +37.38% |
| 2020-03-16 | $56.9 | +31.28% | +40.82% | +38.26% | +74.47% | +72.67% | +84.74% |
| 2020-03-23 | $70.65 | -0.25% | +6.41% | +6.84% | +39.16% | +43.27% | +54.12% |