DIA market signals
Last updated 2026-09-22 · US market close
Hourly updates during US market hours · Full adjusted-price refresh after the close
DIA price, standard deviation and historical returns
Review the latest DIA (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average) price, correction and standard-deviation-based lower-price zone using weekly ETF data. Signal A combines statistical price zones with market prerequisites; its proximity is not a profit probability. Compare historical returns one month to two years after Signal A and Signal B.
Signals are evaluated using the candle low. Once triggered, a signal remains recorded even if the price rebounds and the candle closes higher.
Signal A is statistics-based, while Signal B is price-action-based.
How to read relative strength
Relative strength shows whether this ETF is stronger or weaker than the selected benchmark, SPY or RSP. Above the dashed 1.0 line means stronger; below it means weaker. An upward break above 1.0 during a market decline or rebound can be meaningful as a shift toward relative strength. Holding above 1.0 or rising first during a rebound may also indicate relative leadership. It is not a buy signal and does not predict future returns.
Signal A historical performance
Tracks statistically lower market-price zones. chart marker A.
| Period | Average return | Median | Average max gain | Average time to peak | Positive-return rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +4.4% | +5.5% | +8.3% | 3.2 wk | 76% | 21 |
| 3 months | +4.8% | +7.6% | +14.3% | 8.2 wk | 67% | 21 |
| 6 months | +5.4% | +4.6% | +18.3% | 15 wk | 57% | 21 |
| 1 year | +17.9% | +21.8% | +27.3% | 37.5 wk | 67% | 21 |
| 18 months | +27% | +30.8% | +35.3% | 51.1 wk | 75% | 20 |
| 2 years | +34.4% | +37.2% | +41.4% | 72 wk | 70% | 20 |
Signal A signal history
Signals from the last 10 years are shown by default.
| Signal date | Base price | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year | 18 months | 2 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-17 | $194.19 | +10.32% | +14.41% | +20.52% | +29.82% | +19.49% | +40.77% |
| 2018-12-24 | $199.73 | +7.41% | +13.06% | +16.63% | +27.05% | +12.39% | +36.92% |
| 2020-03-09 | $206.36 | +2.47% | +11.22% | +20.74% | +44.39% | +53.74% | +47.59% |
| 2020-03-16 | $171.13 | +26.4% | +35.59% | +45.65% | +73.26% | +85.22% | +87.66% |
| 2020-03-23 | $192.93 | +9.99% | +16.35% | +26.94% | +55.85% | +65.35% | +67.1% |
| 2025-04-07 | $392.93 | +2.67% | +10.82% | +14.08% | +21.1% | Current +32.28% · Peak +38.71% | Current +32.28% · Peak +38.71% |